Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.3% | 89.7% | +11.9 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +16 (67-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Demps * | 40 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Drew Crawford * | 39 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Sanjay Lumpkin * | 32 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Alex Olah * | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Dave Sobolewski * | 21 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Kale Abrahamson | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Nikola Cerina | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Nathan Taphorn | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Montgomery III | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denzel Valentine * | 29 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 28 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Gary Harris * | 25 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Keith Appling * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Adreian Payne * | 19 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Travis Trice | 24 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Matt Costello | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Kenny Kaminski | 12 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Russell Byrd | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Gavin Schilling | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Colby Wollenman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Keenan Wetzel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dan Chapman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alex Gauna | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter