Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.7% | 85.3% | +9.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +8 (59-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Birch * | 39 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 25 | - |
| R. Smith * | 34 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| J. Kendrick * | 32 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| K. Olekaibe * | 31 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| D. Smith * | 31 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 3 | - |
| B. Dejean-Jones | 17 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| D. Cook | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| C. Wood | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| X. Thames * | 34 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| J. Davis * | 30 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| S. Spencer * | 28 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| W. Shepard * | 22 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | - |
| D. Polee II | 27 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 7-8 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| M. Shrigley | 23 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| A. Quinn | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Williams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter