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2014-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Houston Cougars Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 84.0% 16.0% -
Bradley-Terry 30.5% 69.5% -
Margin 65.8% 34.2% -3.6 (32.6 off)
Pythagorean 7.4% 92.6% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Louisville Cardinals +29 (94-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. House Jr. * 34 5-18 2-4 0-2 13 0 1 0 5 12 3 -
L.J. Rose * 28 2-10 0-3 0-0 1 5 1 0 3 4 -2 -
T. Thomas * 24 6-8 0-1 1-4 8 3 1 4 2 13 19 -
B. Morris * 21 5-8 2-3 1-1 3 0 0 0 0 13 8 -
J.J. Richardson * 20 1-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 2 3 0 -
J. Stiggers 21 4-10 3-9 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 11 3 -
T. Womack 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 1 0 2 7 -
D. Knowles 15 1-4 0-0 1-3 5 1 0 0 0 3 5 -
J. Simmons 8 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
M. McLean 5 0-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
L. Barnes 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
L. Paye 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Smith * 31 14-22 5-7 9-10 3 3 1 0 3 42 24 -
M. Harrell * 28 6-9 0-0 0-2 5 4 0 0 0 12 12 -
S. Van Treese * 24 2-3 1-2 0-0 10 1 3 0 2 5 14 -
C. Jones * 24 1-7 1-2 1-3 1 8 2 0 0 4 8 -
L. Hancock * 19 3-8 2-6 4-4 4 2 1 0 0 12 11 -
W. Blackshear 20 3-7 0-3 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 8 4 -
M. Mathiang 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 3 0 2 10 -
T. Rozier 17 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 2 2 -
T. Henderson 13 2-5 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 -
A. Agau 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
D. Levitch 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter