Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.2% | 98.8% | +24.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +29 (94-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danuel House * | 34 | 5-18 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 3 | - |
| L.J. Rose * | 28 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| TaShawn Thomas * | 24 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Brandon Morris * | 21 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| J.J. Richardson * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Jherrod Stiggers | 21 | 4-10 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Tione Womack | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Danrad Knowles | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jaaron Simmons | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Mikhail McLean | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| LeRon Barnes | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Lawrence Paye | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russ Smith * | 31 | 14-22 | 5-7 | 9-10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 42 | 24 | - |
| Montrezl Harrell * | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Stephan Van Treese * | 24 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 14 | - |
| Chris Jones * | 24 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Luke Hancock * | 19 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Wayne Blackshear | 20 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Mangok Mathiang | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Terry Rozier | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tim Henderson | 13 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Akoy Agau | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| David Levitch | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter