Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Bowling Green Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.2% | 17.8% | -8.4 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Bowling Green Falcons -18 (55-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Fontaine | 36 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 6 | - |
| B. Carter | 36 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| B. Woody | 35 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| S. Justice | 33 | 7-11 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | - |
| K. Murphy | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| J. Morrison | 16 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| S. Merder | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Bennett | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Hosea | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Donovan | 37 | 7-14 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| L. Pattman | 34 | 3-11 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| J. Halfhill | 34 | 5-14 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 5 | - |
| A. Rogers | 33 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| J. Stein | 25 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Justinger | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Hoekstra | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
* = starter