Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.0% | 79.0% | +7.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +13 (64-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Thomas * | 39 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Okaro White * | 36 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Montay Brandon * | 33 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Ian Miller * | 28 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Michael Ojo * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Devon Bookert | 21 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Boris Bojanovsky | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jarquez Smith | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Robert Gilchrist | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Marquez White | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Harris * | 33 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| M. Brogdon * | 32 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| L. Perrantes * | 31 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| A. Mitchell * | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| M. Tobey * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Gill | 26 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 11 | - |
| J. Anderson | 19 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Atkins | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| E. Nolte | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Jones | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter