Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.4% | 64.6% | +3.3 | ✗ (16.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.3% | 12.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack -13 (62-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Ness | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jeff Elorriaga * | 35 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Ryan Watkins * | 33 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Anthony Drmic * | 33 | 5-12 | 0-5 | 7-8 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Derrick Marks * | 25 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 11-11 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Mikey Thompson * | 25 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Thomas Bropleh | 18 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Igor Hadziomerovic | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Nick Duncan | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Burton * | 40 | 6-15 | 1-6 | 9-10 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 14 | - |
| C. Huff * | 37 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 6-7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| M. Perez * | 34 | 2-11 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Evans, Jr. * | 22 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| A. West * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Coleman | 21 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| D.J. Fenner | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Fall | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Stevens Jr. | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter