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2014-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Fresno State Bulldogs New Mexico Lobos Spread Result
Elo 10.6% 89.4% -
Bradley-Terry 38.9% 61.1% -
Margin 16.2% 83.8% +9.0 (7.0 off)

Actual: New Mexico Lobos +16 (93-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Fresno State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Johnson * 36 1-7 0-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 2 0 -
M. Harris * 34 4-11 1-4 4-4 4 4 1 0 1 13 10 -
A. Davis * 34 6-10 0-0 5-9 3 3 0 2 1 17 14 -
P. Watson * 28 6-13 4-8 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 16 9 -
C. Guerrero * 27 2-11 0-7 2-2 4 5 0 0 2 6 2 -
A. Huddleston 23 4-7 3-5 7-11 2 2 2 0 2 18 15 -
T. Giddings 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
K. Edo 8 1-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 1 1 3 1 -

New Mexico Lobos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Williams * 35 5-12 1-5 6-7 6 9 0 1 3 17 18 -
A. Kirk * 32 7-11 0-2 7-8 6 0 0 1 4 21 13 -
C. Bairstow * 30 7-14 0-0 7-9 10 1 0 3 2 21 19 -
H. Greenwood * 30 2-4 1-3 3-4 8 3 0 1 0 8 16 -
D. Delaney * 18 2-2 0-0 5-6 4 2 2 0 3 9 12 -
C. Neal 29 2-4 1-3 2-3 1 4 2 0 2 7 8 -
P. Thomas 17 2-2 1-1 1-1 2 2 0 0 0 6 8 -
M. Lindsay 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
O. Aget 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter