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2014-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Fordham Rams Dayton Flyers Spread Result
Elo 6.8% 93.2% -
Bradley-Terry 18.1% 81.9% -
Margin 6.7% 93.3% +14.5 (1.5 off)

Actual: Dayton Flyers +13 (87-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Fordham Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Smith * 39 5-9 5-9 0-0 4 3 2 0 0 15 15 -
B. Frazier * 39 8-27 4-9 10-11 5 3 1 1 7 30 6 -
M. Thomas * 37 2-9 1-5 0-0 2 3 0 2 0 5 3 -
R. Rhoomes * 29 3-3 0-0 1-1 6 2 1 1 0 7 14 -
R. Canty * 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 1 2 2 8 -
J. Severe 34 5-15 1-7 4-7 3 5 1 0 1 15 8 -
T. Leonard 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
C. Whitehead 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Oliver * 32 5-8 3-5 4-8 11 1 0 0 2 17 19 -
J. Sibert * 24 5-7 0-2 4-8 4 2 2 0 0 14 15 -
D. Pierre * 21 4-5 2-3 2-2 2 2 1 0 3 12 9 -
K. Price * 21 0-3 0-2 4-4 3 3 0 0 1 4 6 -
M. Kavanaugh * 11 2-4 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 5 3 -
V. Sanford 23 9-9 3-3 2-2 4 1 1 0 0 23 20 -
S. Smith 20 0-4 0-1 0-1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -3 -
J. Robinson 15 2-6 1-2 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 5 6 -
D. Scott 12 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 2 0 2 3 4 -
K. Davis 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -2 -
K. Pollard 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -

* = starter