Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.9% | 86.1% | +10.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +11 (59-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Walla | 32 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 4 | - |
| K. Martin | 29 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -4 | - |
| A. Anderson | 28 | 3-11 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| E. Peoples | 28 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | - |
| A. Ezeh | 25 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| M. Braeuer | 19 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Baugus | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| K. Mays | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| C. Moyer | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Qedan | 36 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 | - |
| C. Wyatt | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| J. Morrill | 26 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Hunt | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Flanery | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter