Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Akron Zips | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.5% | 85.5% | +9.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Akron Zips +14 (83-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Dortch | 35 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 15 | - |
| I. Zanoguera | 31 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| E. Montgomery | 30 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| B. Jones | 24 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | - |
| E. de Alfredo | 22 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| A. Capotosto | 21 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| J. Monakana | 21 | 0-8 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| S. Recker | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Reecher | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| O. Braun | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Akron Zips
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Luburgh | 35 | 12-22 | 4-5 | 3-5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 18 | - |
| D. Curtis | 34 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 8 | - |
| C. Young | 26 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 18 | - |
| R. Tecca | 23 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| A. Brown | 23 | 6-15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1 | - |
| H. Plybon | 22 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Nunan | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| D. Gibson | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - |
| M. Barilla | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Guyton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter