Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Buffalo Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.6% | 66.4% | +3.7 | ✗ (17.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Buffalo Bulls -14 (60-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Woody | 37 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| S. Justice | 37 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| N. Fontaine | 31 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 19 | - |
| B. Carter | 29 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| S. Merder | 22 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| J. Morrison | 19 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| R. Bennett | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Murphy | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| C. Hosea | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Gupilan | 39 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| M. Loesing | 34 | 4-20 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | -6 | - |
| C. Baccas | 32 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10 | - |
| K. Sharkey | 30 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| J. Rickan | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| A. Malone | 20 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| K. Moss | 17 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| A. Bradley | 6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter