๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2014-03-11

Model Predictions

Model BYU Cougars Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 37.7% 62.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 17.5% 82.5% - โœ“
Margin 12.0% 88.0% +10.9 โœ“ (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 34.6% 65.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 27.2% 72.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 11.7% 88.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 11.6% 88.4% - โœ“

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +11 (75-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyler Haws * 38 6-14 1-1 11-11 5 1 1 0 3 24 14 -
Eric Mika * 28 3-8 0-0 2-2 10 1 0 2 1 8 12 -
Anson Winder * 25 0-4 0-2 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 0 2 -
Kyle Collinsworth * 24 5-11 0-0 3-5 6 1 0 0 4 13 5 -
Nate Austin * 23 1-2 0-0 0-1 5 0 1 0 1 2 5 -
Matt Carlino 29 3-12 0-5 2-5 1 2 1 0 2 8 -2 -
Frank Bartley 19 3-4 2-2 1-2 4 0 1 0 2 9 8 -
Skyler Halford 6 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Luke Worthington 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Josh Sharp 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
David Stockton * 40 1-5 0-1 2-2 5 7 3 1 3 4 12 -
Kevin Pangos * 40 0-2 0-1 11-14 4 3 0 0 1 11 15 -
Sam Dower * 34 10-16 0-0 0-3 13 1 0 1 3 20 16 -
G. Bell Jr. * 26 4-7 3-4 3-5 1 1 1 0 0 14 10 -
Przemek Karnowski * 19 3-4 0-0 3-4 1 3 1 1 2 9 9 -
Kyle Dranginis 19 3-6 1-2 0-2 2 1 3 0 0 7 7 -
Drew Barham 13 2-5 2-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
Ryan Edwards 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Angel Nunez 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -

* = starter