Model Predictions
| Model | Western Michigan Broncos | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.7% | 81.3% | +8.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets +11 (72-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Western Michigan Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Woods | 36 | 10-22 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 8 | - |
| M. Harris | 34 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| A. Morton | 28 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -2 | - |
| J. Windham | 25 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| A.J. Johnson | 25 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Henson | 24 | 3-11 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | - |
| M. Shipman | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Jessing | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. O'Brien | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Adaline | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Mckay | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Dortch | 36 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - |
| I. Zanoguera | 34 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| E. Montgomery | 27 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | - |
| A. Capotosto | 26 | 8-10 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 20 | - |
| B. Jones | 25 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| S. Recker | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Monakana | 14 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| S. Reecher | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| E. de Alfredo | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter