Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.7% | 72.3% | +5.3 | ✗ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers -5 (63-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Williams | 37 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 8 | - |
| A. Hayward | 31 | 6-16 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 7 | - |
| B. Murphy | 30 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3 | - |
| R. Keegan | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | - |
| A. Brock | 23 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| S. Stokes | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| E. Blaine | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Taylor | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Allison | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Henderson | 36 | 5-14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| A. Christie | 36 | 2-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9 | - |
| J. Kaufman | 29 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Brewer | 28 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 2-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| R. Mathews | 23 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| K. Grossett | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. Scott | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| K. Eisenhard | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Chickey | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter