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2014-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Indiana Hoosiers Spread Result
Elo 71.1% 28.9% -
Bradley-Terry 34.8% 65.2% -
Margin 46.1% 53.9% +0.9 (10.9 off)
Pythagorean 38.3% 61.7% -
Efficiency 32.4% 67.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.4% 73.6% -
Log Adjusted 26.2% 73.8% -

Actual: Indiana Hoosiers -10 (54-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. La Tulip 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Abrams * 37 8-16 2-5 7-9 7 2 2 1 1 25 20 -
N. Egwu * 36 1-8 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 5 0 2 7 -
K. Nunn * 33 3-8 0-2 4-4 4 2 2 0 0 10 10 -
R. Rice * 33 4-9 0-2 5-6 3 2 1 0 2 13 8 -
M. Hill * 13 2-3 2-2 2-3 4 0 1 0 2 8 8 -
J. Ekey 28 2-4 2-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 6 6 -
J. Bertrand 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 3 0 -2 -
M. Morgan 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Tate 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Y. Ferrell * 37 3-13 2-9 6-6 3 3 1 0 3 14 5 -
W. Sheehey * 35 5-7 3-4 0-0 3 5 0 1 4 13 11 -
N. Vonleh * 32 3-9 0-2 0-1 5 2 1 2 2 6 5 -
T. Williams * 30 4-5 1-2 2-2 5 1 1 0 3 11 10 -
S. Robinson * 20 1-5 0-1 4-6 2 1 0 0 3 6 1 -
J. Hollowell 18 0-5 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
E. Gordon 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 1 1 0 1 -
A. Etherington 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
D. Davis 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
H. Mosquera-Perea 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter