Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.3% | 76.7% | +6.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies +4 (73-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Octeus * | 39 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Daniel Bejarano * | 32 | 2-17 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Joe De Ciman * | 31 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Dwight Smith * | 31 | 10-14 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 16 | - |
| J.J. Avila * | 27 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Marcus Holt | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Carlton Hurst | 19 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| David Cohn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Medlin * | 34 | 7-17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | - |
| TeNale Roland * | 33 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Spencer Butterfield * | 31 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Kyle Davis * | 26 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Jarred Shaw * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jordan Stone | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| JoJo McGlaston | 15 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Jalen Moore | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Marcel Davis | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter