Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.1% | 42.9% | -1.6 | ✗ (13.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans +12 (66-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Harden | 34 | 3-15 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -3 | - |
| K. Coleman | 30 | 8-14 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 10 | - |
| B. Bowie | 27 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A. Maiga | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| R. Garrett | 22 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| D. Ross | 15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| B. Lancaster | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Ford | 40 | 9-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 14 | - |
| D. Bennett | 37 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| S. James | 36 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 11 | - |
| K. Clark | 36 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| H. Fohne | 31 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| K. Keys | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| S. Collins | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Jackson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter