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2014-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 7.8% 92.2% -
Bradley-Terry 14.5% 85.5% -
Margin 11.0% 89.0% +11.5 (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 29.3% 70.7% -

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +7 (63-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Lewis 40 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 2 4 6 -
C. Thompson 37 5-17 2-6 0-0 6 4 3 0 3 12 5 -
J. Blagowsky 37 6-19 4-13 2-3 4 1 0 0 4 18 0 -
A. Williams 22 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 4 2 -
S. Fotsch 20 3-5 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 2 0 6 6 -
M. Philpot 13 1-1 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 0 0 4 6 -
M. Jackson 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 2 6 -
K. Lujan 11 2-3 2-2 0-0 0 4 0 0 1 6 6 -
M. Cavanaugh 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Long 35 4-11 4-10 2-5 1 1 0 0 2 14 3 -
C. Culberson 32 2-8 2-7 1-2 1 3 2 0 0 7 5 -
K. Hunter 31 5-7 0-0 0-1 5 2 0 0 2 10 8 -
D. Scurry 27 3-9 0-1 1-2 13 3 3 1 3 7 15 -
C. Warren 26 9-14 0-0 2-7 11 1 2 2 2 20 20 -
C. Johnson 26 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 7 0 0 2 0 3 -
D. Smith 18 1-3 0-0 3-4 2 0 1 0 0 5 5 -
A. Lawrence 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter