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UC Santa Barbara Gauchos 57
@
UC Davis Aggies 58
2014-03-11

Model Predictions

Model UC Santa Barbara Gauchos UC Davis Aggies Spread Result
Elo 22.4% 77.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 28.7% 71.3% - ✓
Margin 24.0% 76.0% +6.3 ✓ (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 51.9% 48.1% - ✗

Actual: UC Davis Aggies +1 (58-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Zornig 39 9-15 2-5 1-1 2 2 1 0 3 21 8 -
N. Nesbit 38 6-16 1-3 3-4 5 1 3 0 3 16 6 -
D. Mason 32 8-13 0-1 0-0 6 2 2 0 4 16 9 -
O. Jemerigbe 29 0-4 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 0 2 0 3 -
C. Watkins 21 1-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 2 1 -
J. Ware 19 0-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
M. Maragnes 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
M. Wright 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
K. Brance 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Morrison 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Harris 35 3-9 3-8 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 9 6 -
M. Greubel 34 1-7 0-4 2-2 2 5 2 0 4 4 2 -
S. Fipps 33 3-16 1-7 4-4 4 2 1 0 2 11 0 -
C. Marfone 30 6-10 2-3 1-2 6 0 1 1 4 15 9 -
A. Doherty 26 5-9 0-0 4-5 7 4 0 0 3 14 13 -
L. Beyer 15 1-1 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 0 1 3 8 -
I. Oryon 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 0 4 -
B. Salvatore 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
H. Johnson 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. McGuire 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter