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2014-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 80.3% 19.7% -
Bradley-Terry 42.8% 57.2% -
Margin 65.2% 34.8% -3.4 (15.4 off)
Pythagorean 32.3% 67.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.1% 65.9% -
Log Adjusted 34.5% 65.5% -

Actual: LSU Tigers +12 (68-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Randolph * 37 3-9 2-5 2-4 6 2 3 0 1 10 11 -
T. Releford * 35 2-11 1-4 6-7 5 3 3 0 2 11 9 -
R. Cooper * 33 2-7 0-5 4-7 2 1 1 0 1 8 4 -
J. Taylor * 32 4-6 0-0 1-4 5 0 0 0 1 9 7 -
S. Hale * 30 4-9 2-5 1-2 2 0 0 1 1 11 4 -
R. Obasohan 21 3-5 1-2 0-2 2 0 1 0 1 7 4 -
C. Engstrom 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Key 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 1 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Martin * 34 4-8 1-1 1-2 3 3 2 0 1 10 9 -
S. Coleman * 33 5-12 5-9 0-0 8 3 1 0 1 15 14 -
J. Mickey * 32 4-6 0-0 1-2 11 1 0 3 0 9 18 -
A. Hickey Jr. * 32 2-6 1-3 0-0 3 8 3 0 2 5 11 -
J. O'Bryant III * 27 5-7 0-0 1-5 6 4 0 0 3 11 11 -
A. Stringer 23 2-7 2-6 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 6 -1 -
T. Quarterman 12 5-8 2-3 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 12 7 -
S. Hammink 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Malone 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Odo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter