Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Vanderbilt Commodores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.0% | 57.0% | +1.5 | ✗ (15.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores -14 (68-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Thomas * | 36 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Craig Sword * | 35 | 8-13 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Gavin Ware * | 30 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Roquez Johnson * | 21 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| I.J. Ready * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Colin Borchert | 26 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Trivante Bloodman | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jacoby Davis | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tyson Cunningham | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Vanderbilt Commodores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rod Odom * | 37 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 4-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| D. Parker * | 36 | 6-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Luke Kornet * | 29 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Damian Jones * | 27 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Kyle Fuller * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| James Siakam | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Carter Josephs | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nathan Watkins | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Shelby Moats | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter