Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.6% | 26.4% | -5.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs -4 (64-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L.J. Rose * | 35 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 14 | - |
| TaShawn Thomas * | 34 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Danuel House * | 25 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 4-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| J.J. Richardson * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Morris * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jherrod Stiggers | 30 | 7-13 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Danrad Knowles | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Tione Womack | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Mikhail McLean | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jaaron Simmons | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| LeRon Barnes | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Russell * | 37 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 2-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Nic Moore * | 35 | 0-9 | 0-3 | 8-10 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Markus Kennedy * | 29 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Sterling Brown * | 21 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Shawn Williams * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Cannen Cunningham | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Keith Frazier | 19 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Ben Moore | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Yanick Moreira | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Crandall Head | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Manuel | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter