Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.6% | 26.4% | -5.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs -4 (64-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L.J. Rose * | 35 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 14 | - |
| T. Thomas * | 34 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
| D. House Jr. * | 25 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 4-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| J.J. Richardson * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| B. Morris * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Stiggers | 30 | 7-13 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | - |
| D. Knowles | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| T. Womack | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. McLean | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Simmons | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Barnes | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Russell * | 37 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 2-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| N. Moore * | 35 | 0-9 | 0-3 | 8-10 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| M. Kennedy * | 29 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| S. Brown * | 21 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| S. Williams * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Cunningham | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| K. Frazier | 19 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| B. Moore | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Y. Moreira | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Head | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Manuel | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter