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2014-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers Wagner Seahawks Spread Result
Elo 28.3% 71.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 37.4% 62.6% - โœ—
Margin 28.0% 72.0% +5.2 โœ— (10.2 off)
Pythagorean 38.1% 61.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 32.9% 67.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 32.7% 67.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 38.1% 61.9% - โœ—

Actual: Wagner Seahawks -5 (72-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sam Prescott * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 3 16 19 -
Rashad Whack * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 0 2 21 26 -
Julian Norfleet * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 7 2 0 5 16 23 -
Taylor Danaher * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 4 0 4 13 -
B.K. Ashe * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 5 8 -
Gregory Graves 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 1 1 12 20 -
Khalid Nwandu 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Will Miller 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

Wagner Seahawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kenneth Ortiz * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 26 30 -
Latif Rivers * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 7 13 -
Orlando Parker * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 3 0 0 8 22 -
Naofall Folahan * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 5 0 6 20 -
Dwaun Anderson * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 4 3 -
Marcus Burton 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 13 14 -
Mario Moody 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 3 2 8 15 -
Greg Senat 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Langston Burnett 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter