Model Predictions
| Model | Pepperdine Waves | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.0% | 87.0% | +10.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +11 (80-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Brooks * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Stacy Davis * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Jeremy Major * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Amadi Udenyi * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Nikolas Skouen | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Jett Raines | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Malte Kramer | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Atif Russell | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Lamond Murray | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| David Jesperson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Allen Stevens | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jonathan Allen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Holt * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Beau Levesque * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 24 | - |
| Brad Waldow * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 29 | - |
| James Walker * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Jordan Giusti * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kerry Carter | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Paul McCoy | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Matt Hodgson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Garrett Jackson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter