Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.9% | 52.1% | +0.5 | ✓ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty +12 (73-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Kizer | 28 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| M. Lucas | 27 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 27 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 23 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 2 | - |
| K. Thomas | 23 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| S. Zellous | 19 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| S. Carter | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Coleman | 12 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Cash | 24 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| A. Cruz | 23 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| S. McKinney | 21 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| P. Pierson | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 9 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| N. Lacy | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Warley-Talbert | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| E. Carson | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Montgomery | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tina Charles | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C. Houston | 9 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
* = starter