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2014-08-16

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Sky Indiana Fever Spread Result
Elo 44.9% 55.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 40.9% 59.1% - โœ“
Margin 39.1% 60.9% +2.4 โœ“ (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 49.6% 50.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 49.8% 50.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 49.8% 50.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 45.1% 54.9% - โœ“

Actual: Indiana Fever +4 (71-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Epiphanny Prince * 32 2-6 1-3 6-7 3 4 1 2 2 11 13 -
Sylvia Fowles * 30 2-8 0-0 0-0 7 1 2 0 2 4 4 -
Tamera Young * 29 4-6 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 9 6 -
Jessica Breland * 26 2-7 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 2 3 4 3 -
Jamierra Faulkner * 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 2 5 -
Allie Quigley 25 6-12 3-3 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 17 5 -
Elena Delle Donne 22 5-14 2-6 2-4 7 2 1 3 0 14 13 -
Courtney Vandersloot 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 2 2 0 1 4 4 -
Markeisha Gatling 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Sasha Goodlett 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Briann January * 33 5-11 2-4 2-2 3 7 2 0 3 14 12 -
Erlana Larkins * 32 1-3 0-0 0-0 8 1 3 3 0 2 14 -
Shavonte Zellous * 32 3-10 1-2 1-2 4 1 0 1 2 8 2 -
Tamika Catchings * 31 10-19 0-2 5-5 9 0 1 0 2 25 14 -
Marissa Coleman * 21 4-10 1-5 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 9 6 -
Karima Christmas-Kelly 23 2-8 1-2 1-2 4 0 0 1 1 6 2 -
Natasha Howard 8 3-4 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 2 7 5 -
Lynetta Kizer 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 0 4 -
Sydney Carter 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
Maggie Lucas 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter