Model Predictions
| Model | Tulsa Shock | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.4% | 70.6% | +4.8 | ✓ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +16 (92-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tulsa Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diggins-Smith | 37 | 7-17 | 2-7 | 8-10 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Odyssey Sims | 35 | 8-21 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 8 | - |
| C. Paris | 28 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | - |
| R. Hodges | 20 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| J. Lacy | 18 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| J. Hooper | 18 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| G. Johnson | 11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| T. Jackson-Jones | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| V. Baugh | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A. Goodrich | 7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T. Plaisance | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. de Souza | 32 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 28 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 28 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| S. Schimmel | 27 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| C. Dumerc | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 20 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 16 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| N. Colhado | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter