Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.9% | 50.1% | +0.0 | ✗ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -4 (67-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivory Latta * | 35 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Bria Hartley * | 34 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 1 | - |
| Emma Meesseman * | 29 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Monique Currie * | 29 | 1-10 | 0-3 | 8-8 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Kia Vaughn * | 24 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Stefanie Dolson | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Tierra Ruffin-Pratt | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Tianna Hawkins | 10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Kalana Greene | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Tayler Hill | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyssa Thomas * | 33 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Alex Bentley * | 31 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Chiney Ogwumike * | 31 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Danielle McCray * | 27 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Kelsey Bone * | 26 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 21 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Kayla Pedersen | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kelsey Griffin | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kelly Faris | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter