Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.2% | 75.8% | +6.3 | ✗ (14.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx -8 (63-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristi Toliver | 40 | 11-18 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 19 | - |
| A. Beard | 34 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Candace Parker | 33 | 7-19 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 30 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A. Herrington | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 21 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| C. Wiggins | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Gruda | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Moore | 32 | 9-19 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 12 | - |
| J. McCarville | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| S. Augustus | 29 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| L. Whalen | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| R. Brunson | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| M. Wright | 19 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| D. Peters | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. White | 12 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Taylor | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| T. Liston | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter