Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.8% | 13.2% | -10.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty -12 (64-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dupree | 35 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| B. Griner | 34 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 15 | - |
| P. Taylor | 28 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| D. Bonner | 27 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 27 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 2 | - |
| E. Phillips | 17 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| S. Murphy | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| M. Bass | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Jekabsone-Zogota | 9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| E. Kobryn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Bias | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Charles | 38 | 11-22 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 20 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 35 | 6-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | - |
| S. Cash | 21 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| E. Carson | 20 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| P. Pierson | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| A. Montgomery | 19 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| A. Cruz | 15 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Warley-Talbert | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| C. Houston | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
| S. McKinney | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter