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2014-08-12

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Mercury New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 80.3% 19.7% -
Bradley-Terry 82.7% 17.3% -
Margin 86.8% 13.2% -10.4 (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 69.5% 30.5% -

Actual: New York Liberty -12 (64-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Dupree 35 9-14 0-0 0-0 10 4 0 0 2 18 16 -
B. Griner 34 7-12 0-0 0-0 11 2 0 3 3 14 15 -
P. Taylor 28 4-12 2-6 1-1 5 4 0 0 3 11 5 -
D. Bonner 27 2-4 0-1 0-0 4 3 1 1 1 4 8 -
D. Taurasi 27 5-11 3-6 1-2 0 4 0 0 5 14 2 -
E. Phillips 17 3-4 3-4 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 11 8 -
S. Murphy 12 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 1 1 0 0 1 4 -
M. Bass 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 1 0 3 -
A. Jekabsone-Zogota 9 1-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
E. Kobryn 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Bias 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Charles 38 11-22 0-0 4-4 12 2 3 0 1 26 20 -
C. Pondexter 35 6-17 0-1 0-0 3 3 2 0 3 12 0 -
S. Cash 21 1-5 0-1 0-0 5 4 1 0 1 2 6 -
E. Carson 20 2-7 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 6 0 -
P. Pierson 19 1-4 0-0 1-2 4 2 0 0 0 3 5 -
A. Montgomery 19 2-5 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 5 3 -
A. Cruz 15 3-7 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 6 4 -
A. Warley-Talbert 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 2 4 -
S. Rodgers 11 1-5 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -1 -
C. Houston 7 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -5 -
S. McKinney 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter