Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.6% | 65.4% | +3.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +2 (82-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maya Moore * | 36 | 11-20 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 18 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 34 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 32 | 6-14 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Janel McCarville * | 28 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Devereaux Peters | 21 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Monica Wright | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Tan White | 8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Griner * | 37 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Candice Dupree * | 36 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner * | 34 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Diana Taurasi * | 32 | 9-21 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 12 | - |
| Penny Taylor * | 25 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Shay Murphy | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Erin Phillips | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Mistie Bass | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter