Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.3% | 63.7% | +3.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +3 (80-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sancho Lyttle * | 42 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 39 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry * | 34 | 5-20 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 | -1 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes * | 25 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Celine Dumerc * | 18 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Shoni Schimmel | 28 | 4-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Matee Ajavon | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Aneika Morello | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Nadia Colhado | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Amanda Thompson | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jantel Lavender * | 39 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Kristi Toliver * | 39 | 5-19 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 1 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 37 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 24 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 37 | 10-16 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 35 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Candice Wiggins | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Sandrine Gruda | 9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Armintie Herrington | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Lindsey Harding | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter