Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | San Antonio Stars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.0% | 18.0% | -8.3 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.7% | 14.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.8% | 14.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Stars -5 (73-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi | 39 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Candice Dupree | 37 | 8-19 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 19 | - |
| B. Griner | 37 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 36 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| P. Taylor | 33 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 6-7 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| E. Phillips | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Bass | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Murphy | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| E. Kobryn | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Jekabsone-Zogota | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
San Antonio Stars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danielle Robinson | 40 | 5-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Kayla McBride | 32 | 3-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| S. Young-Malcolm | 30 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| J. Perkins | 29 | 9-14 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 15 | - |
| J. Appel-Marinelli | 28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | - |
| D. Adams | 25 | 4-15 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| B. Hammon | 19 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
| S. Johnson | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Astou Ndour-Fall | 6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Christon | 5 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter