Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.9% | 36.1% | -3.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -2 (64-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Moore | 34 | 5-15 | 0-5 | 5-5 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| L. Whalen | 31 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| S. Augustus | 30 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| R. Brunson | 29 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - |
| J. McCarville | 26 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| T. White | 17 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| D. Peters | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Wright | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| T. Liston | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Larkins | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| M. Coleman | 30 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Briann January | 27 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| T. Catchings | 25 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 23 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 22 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| S. Zellous | 18 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| L. Kizer | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter