Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.4% | 64.6% | +3.3 | ✗ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -2 (64-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maya Moore * | 34 | 5-15 | 0-5 | 5-5 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 30 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 30 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 29 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Janel McCarville * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Tan White | 17 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Devereaux Peters | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Monica Wright | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Tricia Liston | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erlana Larkins * | 29 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Marissa Coleman * | 29 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Briann January * | 27 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 25 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous * | 17 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Karima Christmas-Kelly | 23 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Layshia Clarendon | 21 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Lynetta Kizer | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter