Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.0% | 91.0% | +12.7 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +10 (79-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Zellous | 33 | 5-13 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| B. January | 29 | 4-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| M. Coleman | 28 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| E. Larkins | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | - |
| T. Catchings | 23 | 0-10 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| K. Thomas | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 20 | 0-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| L. Kizer | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| N. Howard | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 34 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 4-7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| B. Griner | 34 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 32 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| C. Dupree | 29 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| P. Taylor | 27 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| M. Bass | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| E. Phillips | 15 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| S. Murphy | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Jekabsone-Zogota | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter