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2014-07-31

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 50.1% 49.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 50.5% 49.5% - โœ“
Margin 48.0% 52.0% +0.4 โœ— (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 55.6% 44.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 58.2% 41.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 58.2% 41.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 47.5% 52.5% - โœ—

Actual: Seattle Storm -9 (67-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Coleman 34 6-12 3-7 1-1 4 2 5 0 1 16 14 -
S. Zellous 30 4-10 1-1 2-2 2 3 2 0 2 11 6 -
E. Larkins 29 5-7 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 0 4 10 6 -
Briann January 29 4-11 0-1 4-4 3 1 2 0 1 12 6 -
T. Catchings 27 4-9 2-5 6-6 6 4 1 1 2 16 17 -
K. Christmas-Kelly 19 0-2 0-2 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 1 3 -
L. Clarendon 14 3-6 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 6 4 -
L. Kizer 11 1-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 4 4 -
Natasha Howard 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
K. Thomas 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Little 33 3-8 1-3 1-2 3 1 2 0 3 8 3 -
C. Langhorne 33 3-5 0-0 2-4 3 1 1 0 4 8 4 -
S. Bird 29 4-10 0-1 0-0 4 5 1 0 5 8 3 -
S. Stricklen 26 7-11 6-9 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 20 12 -
T. Wright 21 2-2 0-0 1-4 0 3 3 0 1 5 8 -
N. Quinn 19 4-6 1-2 0-0 4 0 2 1 0 9 10 -
T. Johnson 11 0-4 0-0 1-1 3 2 0 0 1 1 1 -
J. O'Hea 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 2 2 -
A. Robinson 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 2 1 -
W. Rolle 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Alysha Clark 4 1-2 0-1 0-1 0 0 0 1 1 2 0 -

* = starter