Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.8% | 67.2% | +3.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +4 (77-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Larkins | 33 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| B. January | 32 | 5-13 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | - |
| T. Catchings | 25 | 7-10 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 23 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| S. Zellous | 22 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| M. Coleman | 21 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| N. Howard | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| L. Kizer | 10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| M. Lucas | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Toliver | 37 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 10 | - |
| N. Ogwumike | 37 | 8-21 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 10 | - |
| A. Herrington | 35 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| J. Lavender | 35 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 4 | - |
| A. Beard | 33 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 19 | - |
| C. Wiggins | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| S. Gruda | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter