Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.8% | 94.2% | +15.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +15 (78-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Charles | 34 | 8-21 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 5 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 31 | 6-18 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| A. Warley-Talbert | 25 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| A. Cruz | 22 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Montgomery | 21 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| S. Cash | 20 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| P. Pierson | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| E. Carson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Lacy | 3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Houston | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| S. McKinney | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 32 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 17 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 31 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 15 | - |
| C. Dupree | 30 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| D. Bonner | 26 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| P. Taylor | 24 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| E. Phillips | 15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Bass | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| S. Murphy | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| A. Jekabsone-Zogota | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| E. Kobryn | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Bias | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter