Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics +5 (82-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odyssey Sims * | 36 | 6-17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith * | 34 | 9-19 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 6 | - |
| Glory Johnson * | 31 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Courtney Paris * | 28 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Roneeka Hodges * | 16 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Jordan Hooper | 23 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Theresa Plaisance | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jennifer Lacy | 7 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Angel Goodrich | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Riquna Williams | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Vicki Baugh | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivory Latta * | 32 | 6-12 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Monique Currie * | 31 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 16-18 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 25 | - |
| Emma Meesseman * | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Bria Hartley * | 28 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Kia Vaughn * | 22 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Kara Lawson | 18 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Stefanie Dolson | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Tianna Hawkins | 10 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Tierra Ruffin-Pratt | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter