Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.7% | 24.3% | -6.3 | ✓ (13.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -20 (73-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 35 | 7-9 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 23 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 32 | 5-17 | 2-10 | 6-8 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 8 | - |
| C. Dupree | 30 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 21 | - |
| B. Griner | 30 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 22 | - |
| P. Taylor | 23 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| M. Bass | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Murphy | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| E. Phillips | 13 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| E. Kobryn | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Bias | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Parker | 37 | 5-17 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 4 | - |
| K. Toliver | 33 | 1-12 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -4 | - |
| N. Ogwumike | 32 | 10-18 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 14 | - |
| J. Lavender | 28 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| A. Beard | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| C. Wiggins | 19 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Herrington | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| L. Harding | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Gruda | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter