Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.2% | 76.8% | +6.6 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics +14 (89-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Bone * | 33 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 33 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Alex Bentley * | 33 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Chiney Ogwumike * | 31 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Alyssa Thomas * | 30 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Kayla Pedersen | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Kelly Faris | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Briana Butler | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivory Latta * | 33 | 9-14 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Emma Meesseman * | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Monique Currie * | 28 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Bria Hartley * | 26 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Kia Vaughn * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Stefanie Dolson | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Kara Lawson | 20 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Tierra Ruffin-Pratt | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Tianna Hawkins | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
* = starter