Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.0% | 91.0% | +12.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +16 (101-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Douglas | 32 | 8-18 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 12 | - |
| A. Bentley | 32 | 8-18 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 4 | - |
| C. Ogwumike | 27 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| A. Thomas | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| K. Griffin | 22 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 20 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| K. Bone | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Faris | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Butler | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 31 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 9 | - |
| B. Griner | 30 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| C. Dupree | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| P. Taylor | 25 | 9-12 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 22 | - |
| E. Phillips | 20 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| D. Bonner | 19 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Bass | 15 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| S. Murphy | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| A. Jekabsone-Zogota | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| E. Kobryn | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Bias | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter