Model Predictions
| Model | Tulsa Shock | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.4% | 80.6% | +7.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +11 (93-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tulsa Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diggins-Smith | 38 | 6-18 | 0-4 | 7-7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 5 | - |
| Odyssey Sims | 37 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| G. Johnson | 32 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 8 | - |
| C. Paris | 28 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 20 | - |
| R. Hodges | 25 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Hooper | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Lacy | 13 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| V. Baugh | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Moore | 37 | 10-18 | 1-5 | 11-13 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 29 | - |
| L. Whalen | 33 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | - |
| J. McCarville | 28 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| M. Wright | 28 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 28 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| D. Peters | 24 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| T. White | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Liston | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter