Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.0% | 41.0% | -2.0 | ✗ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New York Liberty +2 (77-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lyttle | 34 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 34 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 34 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| E. de Souza | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 21 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | - |
| C. Dumerc | 13 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| N. Colhado | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| S. Schimmel | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Thompson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles | 36 | 7-21 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 13 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 33 | 3-15 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| A. Cruz | 31 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| A. Montgomery | 23 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| A. Warley-Talbert | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| S. Cash | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | - |
| P. Pierson | 18 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 15 | 6-8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - |
* = starter