Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 | ✗ (26.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -26 (64-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nneka Ogwumike | 29 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Candace Parker | 27 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 8-8 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Kristi Toliver | 26 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 24 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| L. Harding | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A. Beard | 19 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| A. Herrington | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| S. Gruda | 15 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| C. Wiggins | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| F. Abdi | 4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| N. Greene | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiney Ogwumike | 32 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| A. Thomas | 29 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | - |
| A. Bentley | 29 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 3 | - |
| K. Douglas | 27 | 2-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| K. Bone | 20 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 20 | 1-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -6 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| B. Butler | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Griffin | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Faris | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Cain | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter