Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -26 (64-90). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 29 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 26 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 8-8 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Kristi Toliver * | 25 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Jantel Lavender * | 24 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 19 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Lindsey Harding | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Armintie Herrington | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Sandrine Gruda | 14 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Candice Wiggins | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Nikki Greene | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Farhiya Abdi | 4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiney Ogwumike * | 32 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Alex Bentley * | 29 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Alyssa Thomas * | 28 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 26 | 2-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Kelsey Bone * | 19 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 19 | 1-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -6 | - |
| Kayla Pedersen | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Briana Butler | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kelsey Griffin | 8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Kelly Faris | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kelley Cain | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter