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2014-07-12

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics Tulsa Shock Spread Result
Elo 52.4% 47.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 46.9% 53.1% - โœ—
Margin 43.2% 56.8% +1.5 โœ— (18.5 off)
Pythagorean 51.2% 48.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 51.3% 48.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 51.4% 48.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 45.2% 54.8% - โœ—

Actual: Tulsa Shock -17 (74-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Latta 30 4-9 3-7 4-4 0 1 0 0 2 15 5 -
Kia Vaughn 30 5-12 0-0 2-3 10 5 0 0 3 12 12 -
B. Hartley 30 4-8 1-2 0-0 5 5 2 0 2 9 11 -
M. Currie 23 3-7 1-2 4-4 12 2 2 0 1 11 19 -
Emma Meesseman 23 6-12 0-0 3-3 6 3 1 2 0 15 15 -
S. Dolson 22 5-8 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 2 11 4 -
K. Lawson 18 5-9 2-2 2-2 0 2 0 0 0 14 7 -
T. Ruffin-Pratt 16 1-4 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 0 1 2 6 -
Tianna Hawkins 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 -
K. Greene 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

Tulsa Shock

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Diggins-Smith 34 7-20 0-2 2-3 2 3 1 0 3 16 -1 -
G. Johnson 29 6-10 0-0 8-13 11 2 3 0 2 20 24 -
Odyssey Sims 27 3-10 1-2 0-0 2 6 0 0 1 7 4 -
J. Hooper 22 2-9 2-8 0-0 2 2 2 0 1 6 2 -
C. Paris 22 3-4 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 0 7 8 -
R. Hodges 22 3-8 2-5 0-0 2 4 0 0 1 8 5 -
A. Goodrich 15 1-2 0-0 1-2 0 1 1 0 0 3 3 -
J. Lacy 13 0-2 0-2 1-2 2 1 0 0 2 1 0 -
V. Baugh 13 3-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 6 6 -
T. Plaisance 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter