Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.9% | 45.1% | -1.1 | ✓ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty -14 (54-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candace Parker | 29 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 29 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Kristi Toliver | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 26 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| A. Beard | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| L. Harding | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Herrington | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Gruda | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| C. Wiggins | 11 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| F. Abdi | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Greene | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles | 35 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 10 | - |
| A. Cruz | 33 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| A. Montgomery | 31 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 24 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| P. Pierson | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 18 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Warley-Talbert | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| S. Cash | 13 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| C. Houston | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| S. McKinney | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Jeffery | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter